What’s the value of a draw? When you look at fixed odds and prices for football gambling, the possibility of the interest is rarely used. What is the likelihood of a tie occurring as a home or away win? In a perfect world, there is a 33% chance that one of the two outcomes will happen if they were compared to the other two. Because there is always an outright favorite for a football match, nothing can be broken down as quickly as the above percentages. Man Utd has less chance of playing West Ham at Old Trafford than a draw or an away win. Because United is better than West Ham, the potentiality is shattered. Has a 15% chance that the match will end in a draw. However, there is a 5% chance that Hammers will win. United, however, has a 98% chance of winning the match. This is how you should look at it. You can explore probabilities and calculate percentages of possible outcomes by looking at our guide.
Punters tend to overlook the outcome when it comes down to the draw. So, while a lot is going on in Premier League this season, it might be worth looking into the possibility of a drawn game. An appeal can often give you good odds. This is because it’s harder to predict the outcome of a match than it is to win at home. First, consider which teams are more inclined to draw games this season and which has the most drawn match streaks. Streaks can be viewed in two ways. The punter may decide that a line must end at some point, while others will continue to ride the line. It is an unavoidable situation/coincidence; call it what you will that forces streaks to happen. Many bettors look for them in football stats and become essential in planning a betting strategy for the weekend’s matches.
Current Premier League Draw Streaks
Sunderland – 4 matches Bolton – 3 matches
Fulham – 3 matches
Man United – 2 matches
West Brom – 1 match
West Ham – 1 match
Premier League 2010/11 Drawn Match Statistic
August 2010
Coupons for 14-16th – 4/10
21st-23rd Coupon – 2/10
28th-29th Coupon – 4/10
August Total: 30 matches were played, 30% of which were drawn
September 2010
11th-13th Coupon – 5/10
18th-19th Coupon – 4/10
Coupons 25th through 26th – 4/10
September Total: 30 matches were played, with 43.3% of them being drawn
October 2010
2nd to 3rd Coupon – 3/10
Total: 10 matches, 30% of which were drawn
Summary
There were 70 matches played and 26 draws. This total of games that ended in a draw this season is around 37%. This is normal and is a good figure to consider. Of the 380 matches in the 2009/10 Barclays Premier League season were. 25% of those matches were drawn games. There is potential for you to find drawn matches if you look around. There is a 30% chance that at least three Premier League fixtures will end in draws if you use all the coupons. Only one Coupon has so far produced fewer than three drawn matches. Four of the seven coupons ended with four of the ten games being drawn. This adds up to 40% of matches drawn during the weekend. Those percentages will make you smile if you have ever played the Pools Coupon. If you enjoy those percentages, drawn match betting might be something you should explore. If you look at the streaks, it is clear that if Sunderland were playing Bolton, drawn match betting would be worth exploring. Refrain from dismissing the drawn match odds when doing your football betting is essential. If you do, it could pay off. There are other options if you still need convincing that a draw outright fixed odds is worth taking a chance on a win.
Asian Handicap
This is the best way to cover your bases in close games or in those like the Man Utd/West Ham example, where you believe there is an upset. It is possible to win by backing the underdog in a match. If you take West Ham at a +1.50 Asian Handicap, and they hold on to a draw, you’ll win. Also, you’ll get a win even if the Hammers lose by more than one goal. An Asian Handicap has certain advantages. Next time you think an underdog might hold on and endure a draw, it is worth looking into.
No Losing on Draws
Draw No Bet
This is a popular side bet for those who need more confidence in their betting. While this doesn’t make you any money if the match ends in a draw, it will give you some coverage in case of a tie. Let’s say you chose Arsenal to play in a Draw No Bet against Chelsea. You will profit if Arsenal wins, but you’ll still get your stake back if they draw. The Draw No Bet option is a little safety net so that you won’t find the market selection prices as vital.
