MR TINDALLR - A runner-up finish at Hawkesbury resuming last start for the Kris Lees-trained Mr Tindall looks a solid form reference for the Rediguard.com.au. GJC Lightning Prelude Benchmark 65 Handicap (1000m). After being held-up straightening, Mr Tindall finished his race off nicely to be less than a length from the winner Prime Candidate taking on benchmark 65 company and looks well treated with a half kilo more back to country grade. With the first-up run under his belt and the gun run in transit from barrier five settling behind the speed, Mr Tindall will be the horse hitting the line hardest.
SUPER CHASER - With the early favourite Loud Enough asked to carry 66.5kg in the Arthur Gore Memorial Benchmark 65 Handicap (1400m), we have to go looking for one to beat the favourite and the horse we have come up with is the Stephen Edwards-trained Super Chase who looks the value in the race at $9. Unplaced in his three runs this time in, it is worth considering the career statistics for Super Chase. His 15 runs first, second and third-up in a preparation has yielded just two third placings with the statistics substantially better when the form is filtered to fourth run in a preparation and beyond. Four wins and six placings from 19 starts reads considerably better and it is worth noting Super Chase improved considerably fourth-up last time in to win at Warren. Monday’s assignment looks a target race for mine and happy to have something on at the odds.
TERRA SANCTAR - Two years ago, Tony Pike brought Sacred Elixir over to Queensland, gave him a first-up run at the Sunshine Coast, which he won, and then went on to win the JJ Atkins. He also brought an unheralded filly Provocative, she was given a first-up run at Ipswich which she won and at her next start won the Queensland Oaks. When the Kiwi trainer arrives with a Pierro filly out of a Galileo mare who has only had four starts for an Avondale win over 1400m and two unplaced runs in group races including the New Zealand Oaks he has my undivided attention. Jim Byrne gets on in this class one over 1666m and even though she has the visitor’s draw I am expecting Terra Sancta to be too good and the $201 in Sportsbet’s Oaks market to be no longer available.
WUDANG BLADER - Wudang Blade will be fitter and find this much easier than the Listed company against which he resumed last start. Last preparation he performed well in good three-year-old company and was even able to win a restricted class race at Warwick Farm on a heavy track. He has won twice previously here, once when ridden by Michael Cahill and 1000m suits perfectly. Wudang Blade has the speed to cross from gate six and in the class six should be hard to run down. There is a likelihood of rain on Monday and that will only enhance his chances.
DUCK IN DUBAIR - Getting my head around the weights for the Lifeline 131114 Benchmark 65 Handicap (1100m) has been one heck of a task. 65kg for the top weight Somebody at first glance says no, no, no, however when you consider only three horses in the race have less than 57kgs there is a part of my brain saying, Greg he is well weighted but the record at Dubbo with horses carrying 63.5kg or more says only one horse from 26 have been able to win and further investigation revealed that success was at picnic meeting. Joey’s Destiny is well-weighted after the claim, but an expected solid early tempo doesn’t help his chances. I did say it was borderline, but I do think connections have found the right race for the Allan Denham-trained Duck In Dubai. A winner of four of his 13-starts, Duck In Dubai had no luck at Taree last start and with Greg Ryan in the saddle is the one likely to get the ideal run parked behind the expected quicker than average early tempo. Prepared to have something on at the odds.